Daily Status, August 28
Daily Status, August 28:
The statewide numbers are decreasing slowly, and the five identified regions of the state are doing about equally well: all are decreasing (for the first time since June), but the absolute numbers remain just above the threshold of many states for entry without quarantine (we are at 11.5/100K, the threshold is 10/100K). We need to be cautious throughout the state. Yesterday, the sky was not falling and today, we are not doing great. But, as locations go, much of Virginia is improving, no overall region is particularly concerning. We are around the median for all states.
The three week growth rates are (in fraction per day)
Central VA: 0.991
Hampton Roads/Eastern VA: 0.965
SW VA: 0.997
NW VA: 0.986
The state as a whole down 1.0% per day, being driven by Hampton Roads (down 3.5% per day).
The following charts are for the 5 regions/trends. To me, what is most fascinating is each part, even though we are mostly part of the same guidelines. Note that the total number of new cases in East/Hampton Roads is now about the same as Northern VA (though NoVA has a significantly more people).
One interesting aspect of the virus currently is the trend lines have been constant for 6 weeks: nothing has changed in any region requiring a new trend line (the last change was when Hampton Roads/Eastern VA started behaving better).
Large Scale Community Spread:
RADFORD (linked to the university Dashboard)
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Why I did this: About the blog
State Actions: Impact on Growth: TBD
Figure Descriptions: TBD
Other Sites: John's Hopkins
Kids can pass covid to parents: Pediatric SARS-CoV-2: Clinical Presentation, Infectivity, and Immune Responses