Daily Status, August 30
Daily Status, August 30:
The statewide numbers are no longer decreasing; they are increasing by about 1% per day, being driven by colleges mostly. We need to be cautious throughout the state. Outside of college environments, we are doing ok. The best way to describe the situation is: Yesterday, the sky was not falling and today, we are not doing great. But, as locations go, much of Virginia is improving, no overall region is particularly concerning. We are around the median for all states.
What is most noticeable is the worst part of the state per capita is SW VA.
The three week growth rates are (in fraction per day)
Central VA: 1.007
Hampton Roads/Eastern VA: 0.984
SW VA: 1.019
NW VA: 1.010
The state as a whole is flat.
The following charts are for the 5 regions/trends. Looking at the trends, there may be a need to create a new event for SW and NW Virginia. This is mostly due to the of case surges at Radford & JMU. Note that the total number of new cases in East/Hampton Roads is now about the same as Northern VA (though NoVA has a significantly more people).
I added a new trend line for SW virginia to reflect the return of college students. I may need to do the same for NW soon.
VDH # Case
Est # Case*
William and Mary
Large Scale Community Spread:
RADFORD (linked to the university Dashboard)
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Why I did this: About the blog
State Actions: Impact on Growth: TBD
Figure Descriptions: TBD
Other Sites: John's Hopkins
Kids can pass covid to parents: Pediatric SARS-CoV-2: Clinical Presentation, Infectivity, and Immune Responses