Daily Status, August 31
Daily Status, August 31:
The statewide numbers are no longer decreasing; they are increasing by about 1% per day, being driven mostly by colleges. We need to be cautious throughout the state. Outside of college environments, we are doing ok. The best way to describe the situation is: Yesterday, the sky was not falling and today, we are not doing great. But, as locations go, much of Virginia is improving, no overall region is particularly concerning (SW is explained by college outbreaks). We are around the median for all states.
What is most noticeable is the worst part of the state per capita is SW VA. This is a dramatic change from the situation earlier. SW is high mostly from the outbreak at Radford. It is also with noting that Eastern VA's rate of improvement seems to have curtailed, and they actually show their first week over week increase in a month.
The three week growth rates are (in fraction per day)
Central VA: 1.004
Hampton Roads/Eastern VA: 0.981
SW VA: 1.021
NW VA: 1.011
The state as a whole is is increasing at 1.006.
The following charts are for the 5 regions/trends. Looking at the trends, there may be a need to create a new event for SW and NW Virginia. This is mostly due to the of case surges at Radford & JMU. Note that the total number of new cases in East/Hampton Roads is now about the same as Northern VA (though NoVA has a significantly more people).
VDH # Case
Est # Case*
William & Mary
Large Scale Community Spread:
RADFORD (linked to the university Dashboard)
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Why I did this: About the blog
State Actions: Impact on Growth: TBD
Figure Descriptions: TBD
Other Sites: John's Hopkins
Kids can pass covid to parents: Pediatric SARS-CoV-2: Clinical Presentation, Infectivity, and Immune Responses