Daily Status, Sept. 4
Daily Status, Sept. 4:
The statewide numbers are increasing slowly (about 1% per day; the growth is solely the result of the outbreaks at some colleges). Outside of college environments, we are doing ok. The best way to describe the situation is: Yesterday, the sky was not falling and today, we are not doing great. But, as locations go, much of Virginia is improving, no overall region is particularly concerning (SW is explained by college outbreaks). We are around the median for all states.
What is most noticeable is the worst part of the state per capita is SW VA, though NW VA is getting worse (JMU). This is a dramatic change from the situation earlier. SW is high mostly from the outbreak at Radford and now VT. It is also with noting that Eastern VA's rate of improvement seems to have slowed.
The three week growth rates are (in fraction per day)
NOVA: 0.997 -- GMU
Central VA: 1.008 -- UVA & VCU
Hampton Roads/Eastern VA: 0.982 -- W&M & CNU
SW VA: 1.025 -- VT & Radford
NW VA: 1.023-- JMU
The state as a whole is is increasing at 1.011.
The following charts are for the 5 regions/trends. It is worth noting that for NW and SW VA, the recent uptick are 100% the result of the case surges at VT, Radford & JMU. Note that the total number of cases is similar in all regions in spite of the population variations. In fact, there are more cases in SWVA than NOVA or Hampton Roads.
% of population infected ****
Large Scale Community Spread:
RADFORD (linked to the university Dashboard)
1) You can repost / share in the entirety by forwarding the link, 2) If you want share partial content, you must receive my permission – I need to make sure you understand what I am saying. If anyone sees this work being used without attribution, please let me know as soon as possible. I am willing to have an informed discussion / debate on my approach, but I want to make sure the proper context is captured.
Why I did this: About the blog
State Actions: Impact on Growth: TBD
Figure Descriptions: TBD
Other Sites: John's Hopkins
Kids can pass covid to parents: Pediatric SARS-CoV-2: Clinical Presentation, Infectivity, and Immune Responses