Daily Status, August 20

Daily Status, August 20: Bookkeeping: I made a few changes to figures. Add a figure comparing N Arlington/S Arlington/Alexandria. Also, working on more explicit monitoring around college campus to id possible outbreaks. Summary/Situational Awareness Today, across the commonwealth, there were 863 new cases. This is a slight increase from yesterday, but is on the low side of recent data. It is, though within 1 standard deviation of the three week mean. This is the sixth straight day with data below the mean; which we would expect to occur randomly less than 2% of the time randomly. Regionally, Northern VA's slow increase continues. With the exception of NW Virginia, the rest of of the state is trending down -- with the leader in the decrease being Hampton Roads/Eastern VA. It is worth noting that the areas seen growth have a much lower prevalence of the virus, and and much better testing statistics. The testing numbers across the state remain ok, but not great. Overall