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Showing posts from September 30, 2020

Daily Status, Sept. 30: Off the NY/NJ Quarantine list

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Daily Status, Sept. 30Reminder:  any sections that are unchanged since yesterday are grayed out.   Situational AwarenessWE ARE NOW OFF THE NY/NJ QUARANTINE LIST!
Today, Virginia has 755 newly diagnosed COVID cases, which is well below the 21 day average, but remains within one standard deviation of the mean. If we look at 7 day numbers, we have averaged 811 cases (9.7/100K), which is 3 standard deviations below the mean weekly number for the last 11 weeks; this has been a significant decline.  Overall, cases are decreasing  for the last three week at 2%/day, or 14% a week.  There were 64 new cases associated with colleges and most (51) of those cases are from UVA, VT and JMU.  
Regionally, all districts showing are flat to negative case growth. The testing numbers now show the percent positive to below the 5% metric that is often used to indicate sufficient testing (e.g., is is safe to reopen schools).  On one other front, over the last week, we are below to the metric of 10 cases per 10…