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Showing posts from January 16, 2021

COVID Status: Jan 16, 2021: Some positive indications, and are we seeing the impact of vaccinations in the elderly population?

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  VA COVID  Status, Jan 16, 2021 Today is full update The introduction section, situation awareness, is updated with every post.  The figures and tables in the document are always updated, but the text in the remainder of the document is only changed as needed. Situational Awareness Big picture: Throughout the Commonwealth of VA, we remain at our peak values with yesterday’s caseload breaking the previous record by 1000 cases or nearly 20%). One possible positive indicator is the week-over-week growth appears to be slowing.  In addition, it appears that the number hospitalized is past a peak; a few days ago, there were 3200 inpatients whereas now the number is at 3117.  This could be a random fluctuation, or it could be a positive indicator.  Time will tell. Right now the percent of COVID tests coming back positive has decreased to 13.5%, suggesting that 1 in 2 to 1 in 3 cases are being missed. But, the % positive is lower than it has been for several weeks, which is a third positive i